Pennsylvania Congressional Redraw 2022: First Draft

0
160

Pennsylvania now has the 2020 Census Data and knows it will be going from 18 congressional districts to 17. What might a new map look like? That will depend on the priorities.

The following set of maps were created to illustrate it is possible, using a minimal overall population range, to keep every municipality in Pennsylvania whole (except Philadelphia).

Primary Priorities:

  1. All municipalities whole (except Philadelphia, which exceeds the size of a congressional district)
  2. Creating 2 majority minority districts in Philadelphia while minimizing the division of Philadelphia wards.
  3. Minimum county divisions
  4. Equal population (as close to zero while achieving the above goals)
  5. Demonstrating a variety of district configurations.

Secondary Considerations:

  1. School district boundaries
  2. Compactness

These priorities and considerations were applied to the maps as follows:

Version County divisions Total Splits Philly Ward Splits Target Overall Population Range
1 No more than 14* No more than 16 3 Wards As close to zero as possible
2 Less than 14 Less than 16 2 Wards No more than 200
3 No more than 14 No more than 16 2 Wards No more than 100
4 No more than 14 No more than 16 3 Wards No more than 50

* 14 county divisions (16 total splits) seemed to be a common outcome in map configurations.

Some district configurations are interchangeable between maps.

Holt Congressional Maps

Version 1 (overall range is 13 persons)

Version 2 (overall range is 146 persons)

Version 3 (overall range is 93 persons)

Version 4 (overall range is 46 persons)

Key Metrics

Version 1 Jurisdictional Splits

County 14
Municipal 1
Ward 3
Precinct 0
"Total Splits" 21

Minority Districts

Each version achieves one majority-minority district and one minority coalition district. In a coalition district, no single minority group forms 50% of the voting age population, but collectively they do.

Version 1, Congressional District 2 Holt (ages 18+)

White 39.4%
Hispanic 22.1%
Black 26.3%
Asian 9.7%
Other 2.6%

Version 1, Congressional District 3 Holt (ages 18+)

White 33.4%
Hispanic 5.2%
Black 51.1%
Asian 7.9%
Other 2.4%

Conclusion

It is clear every municipality (other than Philadelphia) may remain whole when forming congressional districts. The law clearly allows small population variances to accommodate such an important state interest.

Previous article[Video] Redistricting & The Big Game: What is fair?
Amanda began delving into the subject of redistricting in October of 2010 on her quest to know why. Helped by a love of puzzles, attention to detail, and a great deal of persistence, her efforts eventually led her to a historic victory before the Pennsylvania Supreme Court. She documents her journey at AmandaE.com, inspiring others through numerous presentations across the state. The recipient of several honors, her work has also been featured in every major Pennsylvania newspaper, making headline news in Pittsburgh and Philadelphia.

Leave a Reply